Where is the Estate Tax Heading? Will Congress Act This Year?
Tuesday, November 24th, 2009The federal estate tax is scheduled to disappear for one year for those who die between January 1 and December 31, 2010, and then to ratchet back to apply to all estates over $1 million beginning in 2011. Four out of five of the respondents to our survey (at www.elderlawanswers.com) expect Congress to act before this happens, but the number of days left in the year is dwindling.
This strange estate tax situation results from a compromise between President Bush and Congress. President Bush and his supporters wanted to repeal the estate tax, which they called the “death” tax entirely, but a majority of Congress did not. So, they phased out the threshold at which the tax would apply from $1 million, to $2 million, to $3.5 million for those dying this year, to one tax free year in 2011.
During this time, according to the IRS, the number of estates filing returns dropped from 108,000 in 2001 when the threshold was $675,000 to 38,000 last year when the threshold was $2 million. But the number of those who would have had to file returns under the current $3.5 million limit rose from 9,500 to more than 14,000 during the same time period. Both are small numbers given the number of people in the United States.
Just about all commentators have expected Congress to act to change the law before now, and certainly before 2011 when the threshold drops back to $1 million. Most commentators now expect Congress to fix the limit at $3.5 million. I have long predicted a $2 million limit. What do you think Congress will do? What should it do?